Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 1-0 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.