SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Mantova had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Mantova win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reggiana | Draw | Mantova |
52.42% ( -1.17) | 23.98% ( 0.5) | 23.6% ( 0.67) |
| Both teams to score 53.52% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.25% ( -1.45) | 47.74% ( 1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.06% ( -1.36) | 69.93% ( 1.35) |
| Reggiana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.82% ( -0.98) | 18.18% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.82% ( -1.69) | 49.18% ( 1.69) |
| Mantova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.42% ( -0.2) | 34.58% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.7% ( -0.22) | 71.3% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reggiana | Draw | Mantova |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.42% Total : 52.41% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.12% Total : 23.6% |
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