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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 12, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
2 - 1
Mantova

Gaspar (14'), Krstovic (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bragantini (73')
Solini (29'), Fiori (50'), Burrai (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 2-3 Nice
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Sassari Torres 1-2 Mantova
Saturday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Lecce 3-2 Mantova

Given Mantova's attacking approach, it could be an absorbing cup contest on Monday evening, but Lecce have built a capable squad over the past couple of years and should make a successful return to action. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Mantova win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lecce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lecce.

Result
LecceDrawMantova
42.92% (-0.678 -0.68) 23.84% (0.249 0.25) 33.24% (0.425 0.42)
Both teams to score 61.24% (-0.76300000000001 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.17% (-1.066 -1.07)40.83% (1.062 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.78% (-1.098 -1.1)63.21% (1.095 1.1)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.726 -0.73)19.3% (0.723 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.94% (-1.206 -1.21)51.05% (1.201 1.2)
Mantova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)24.11% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (-0.374 -0.37)58.41% (0.37 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 42.92%
    Mantova 33.24%
    Draw 23.84%
LecceDrawMantova
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.66% (0.197 0.2)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.222 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.268 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.156 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.057 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 33.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lecce 2-3 Nice
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Lecce 2-3 Nice
Sunday, August 4 at 9.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-1 Lecce
Sunday, July 28 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Lecce
Wednesday, July 24 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-3 Lecce
Saturday, July 20 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Napoli 0-0 Lecce
Sunday, May 26 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassari Torres 1-2 Mantova
Saturday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Genoa 3-2 Mantova
Thursday, July 25 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Mantova
Saturday, July 20 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Pescara 3-2 Mantova
Sunday, August 11 at 7.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Siena 0-2 Mantova
Sunday, August 4 at 7.30pm in Coppa Italia


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