Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 47.31%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 24.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Reggiana	Draw	Sudtirol
47.31% ( 0.12)	27.97% ( -0.03)	24.73% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 43.34% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.38% (

0.05)

61.62% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.55% (

0.04)

81.45% (

-0.03)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.81% (

0.08)

26.19% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.72% (

0.1)

61.28% (

-0.1)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.72% (

-0.05)

41.28% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.19% (

-0.04)

77.81% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Reggiana 47.3%

Sudtirol 24.73%

Draw 27.96%

Reggiana	Draw	Sudtirol
1-0 @ 14.48% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 47.3%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 1.22% Total : 24.73%