Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggiana would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.06) 
