Serie B | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Marco Druso
Mallamo (6'),
Rover (90+1')
Giorgini (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bozhanaj (40')
Pergreffi (31'),
Gliozzi (47'), Palumbo (90+4')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sudtirol and Modena.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result |
| Sudtirol | Draw | Modena |
32.75% ( 0.03) | 28.38% ( -0.34) | 38.87% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 46.35% ( 0.95) |
| 40.12% ( 1.17) | 59.88% ( -1.17) |
| 19.85% ( 0.89) | 80.15% ( -0.89) |
| 66.14% ( 0.64) | 33.86% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.47% ( 0.69) | 70.53% ( -0.69) |
| 70.08% ( 0.77) | 29.92% ( -0.77) |
