Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Juve Stabia win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
-0.81) 
0.64) 
