Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Como in this match.
-0.28) 
0.02) 
