Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 63.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 14.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
0.01) 
-0) 
