Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Como had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.