SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 41.73%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 29.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | SPAL |
| 41.73% | 29.19% | 29.08% |
| Both teams to score 42.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.17% | 82.83% |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.94% | 30.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.81% | 66.19% |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.41% | 38.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.67% | 75.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cittadella | Draw | SPAL |
| 1-0 @ 13.94% 2-0 @ 8.38% 2-1 @ 7.98% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.01% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.38% Total : 41.72% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.19% | 0-1 @ 11.04% 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 5.26% 1-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.57% Total : 29.07% |
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