Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
