SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crotone | Draw | Cittadella |
| 40.21% | 26.76% | 33.03% |
| Both teams to score 51.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.24% | 53.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.76% | 75.24% |
| Crotone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% | 26.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.66% | 61.34% |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.47% | 30.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.25% | 66.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crotone | Draw | Cittadella |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.21% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 9.5% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 2% Other @ 3.13% Total : 33.03% |
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