Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.