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Serie B | Gameweek 36
May 4, 2021 at 1pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
FL

SPAL
0 - 1
Frosinone


Sernicola (8'), Okoli (25'), Mora (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Novakovich (50' pen.)
Zampano (26'), Gori (90'), Kastanos (90+3')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Frosinone.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
SPALDrawFrosinone
41.4%27.22%31.38%
Both teams to score 49.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.03%55.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.93%77.06%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38%26.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14%61.85%
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21%32.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65%69.35%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 41.4%
    Frosinone 31.38%
    Draw 27.22%
SPALDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 41.4%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 9.73%
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 5.43%
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.38%

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