Brescia
3 - 1
SPAL

Bjarnason (27'), Aye (63'), Jagiello (79')
Bjarnason (19'), Cistana (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Espeto (65')
Segre (61')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and SPAL.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

Result
Brescia	Draw	SPAL
43.25%	25.76%	31%

Both teams to score 53.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.73%

50.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.78%

72.22%

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.87%

23.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.01%

57%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.85%

30.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.7%

66.3%

Score Analysis

Brescia 43.24%

SPAL 31%

Draw 25.76%

Brescia	Draw	SPAL
1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.07% Total : 43.24%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.36% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 2% Other @ 3.2% Total : 31%