SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Ascoli |
| 42.32% | 27.38% | 30.3% |
| Both teams to score 48.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.07% | 56.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.16% | 77.84% |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% | 26.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.2% | 61.8% |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.92% | 34.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.23% | 70.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| SPAL | Draw | Ascoli |
| 1-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.31% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 9.06% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.31% Total : 30.3% |
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