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Serie B | Gameweek 16
Dec 30, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
BL

SPAL
2 - 3
Brescia

Valoti (7', 57')
Marino (35'), Vicari (48'), Ranieri (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jagiello (56'), Donnarumma (70' pen.), Bjarnason (87')
Labojko (61')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Brescia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 52.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 23.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
SPALDrawBrescia
52.45%24.3%23.25%
Both teams to score 52.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.59%49.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55%71.45%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.2%18.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.78%50.22%
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.19%35.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.41%72.59%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 52.45%
    Brescia 23.25%
    Draw 24.29%
SPALDrawBrescia
1-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 9.4%
3-1 @ 5.38%
3-0 @ 5.24%
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 52.45%
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 6.73%
2-2 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 6.91%
1-2 @ 5.93%
0-2 @ 3.55%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.7%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 23.25%

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