Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Virtus Entella win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.