Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Como had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Como
40.28% ( 2.26)	25.71% ( -0.38)	34% ( -1.88)

Both teams to score 54.86% (

0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.78% (

1.38)

49.22% (

-1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.72% (

1.23)

71.28% (

-1.23)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.86% (

1.83)

24.14% (

-1.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.54% (

2.54)

58.45% (

-2.54)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

-0.48)

27.68% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.77% (

-0.61)

63.23% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Spezia 40.28%

Como 34%

Draw 25.71%

Spezia	Draw	Como
1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.28%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.62) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.89% Total : 34%