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Serie B | Gameweek 1
Aug 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
3 - 0
Como

Pierini (19', 32'), Pohjanpalo (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Venezia and Como.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Venezia (4-3 pen.)
Monday, August 14 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Como
Sunday, August 13 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for Como had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.

Result
VeneziaDrawComo
48.83% (0.567 0.57) 24.59% (-0.245 -0.24) 26.59% (-0.317 -0.32)
Both teams to score 54.61% (0.524 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.25% (0.814 0.81)47.75% (-0.808 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.06% (0.747 0.75)69.94% (-0.741 -0.74)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (0.56 0.56)19.6% (-0.555 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (0.902 0.9)51.55% (-0.896 -0.9)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.92% (0.182 0.18)32.08% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.45% (0.204 0.2)68.56% (-0.19699999999999 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Venezia 48.82%
    Como 26.59%
    Draw 24.59%
VeneziaDrawComo
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.119 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 48.82%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 26.59%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Venezia (4-3 pen.)
Monday, August 14 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Venezia
Saturday, May 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Parma 2-1 Venezia
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Venezia 3-2 Perugia
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cosenza 1-1 Venezia
Saturday, May 6 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Venezia 5-0 Modena
Monday, May 1 at 5pm in Serie B
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Como
Sunday, August 13 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Cittadella 0-0 Como
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Como 3-1 Ternana
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Reggina 2-1 Como
Saturday, May 6 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Como 1-1 Palermo
Monday, May 1 at 11.30am in Serie B
Last Game: Como 1-1 Ascoli
Saturday, April 22 at 1pm in Serie B


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