Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.

Result
Como	Draw	Ternana
45.9% ( -0.01)	25.12% ( -0)	28.98% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.49%

48.51% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.36% (

70.64% (

-0)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.84% (

-0)

21.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.98% (

-0)

54.02%

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.33% (

30.67% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.08% (

66.92% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Como 45.89%

Ternana 28.98%

Draw 25.12%

Como	Draw	Ternana
1-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.79% 3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.89%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.12%	0-1 @ 7.67% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.98%