Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%).
0.32) 
-0.35) 
