Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Modena had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Sudtirol	Draw	Modena
41.14% ( 0.02)	28.26% ( -0.03)	30.6% ( 0)

Both teams to score 46.05% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.04% (

0.09)

59.96% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.79% (

0.07)

80.2% (

-0.07)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.35% (

0.05)

28.65% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.54% (

0.07)

64.46% (

-0.07)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.54% (

0.05)

35.46% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.77% (

0.05)

72.23% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Sudtirol 41.14%

Modena 30.59%

Draw 28.25%

Sudtirol	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 12.7% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 41.14%	1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.25%	0-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 30.59%