New-look Napoli have proved tough to score against in pre-season - perhaps no surprise given the identity of their new manager - and they should see off Modena's challenge this weekend. Mid-table finishers in Serie B last term, the visitors will not have enough guile to make the most of any rustiness in Antonio Conte's squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 65.34%. A draw has a probability of 19.9% and a win for Modena has a probability of 14.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Modena win it is 0-1 (4.49%).

Result
Napoli	Draw	Modena
65.34% ( -0.14)	19.86% ( 0.04)	14.8% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 51.45% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.22%

42.78% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.81% (

65.18% (

-0)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.7% (

-0.04)

12.29% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.93% (

-0.08)

38.06% (

0.08)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.66% (

0.13)

41.34% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.14% (

0.12)

77.85% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Napoli 65.33%

Modena 14.8%

Draw 19.86%

Napoli	Draw	Modena
2-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 65.33%	1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.08% 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.01% Total : 19.86%	0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 14.8%