New-look Napoli have proved tough to score against in pre-season - perhaps no surprise given the identity of their new manager - and they should see off Modena's challenge this weekend.
Mid-table finishers in Serie B last term, the visitors will not have enough guile to make the most of any rustiness in Antonio Conte's squad.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 65.34%. A draw has a probability of 19.9% and a win for Modena has a probability of 14.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Modena win it is 0-1 (4.49%).
-0.14) 
0.04) 
