Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 35.97%. A win for Vicenza had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Vicenza win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.
