Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Vicenza had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Vicenza win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.