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Serie B | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza

SPAL
3 - 2
Vicenza

Seck (30'), Viviani (53'), Colombo (62')
Crociata (40'), Tripaldelli (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Capradossi (37' og.), Proia (90+4')
Mancini (29')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Vicenza.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Vicenza had a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Vicenza win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.

Result
SPALDrawVicenza
53.13%24.99%21.87%
Both teams to score 48.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49%53.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.98%75.02%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.88%20.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.62%52.38%
Vicenza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.57%39.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.88%76.12%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 53.12%
    Vicenza 21.87%
    Draw 24.98%
SPALDrawVicenza
1-0 @ 12.71%
2-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 5.45%
3-1 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-0 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 53.12%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 7.93%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.38%
1-2 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 3.44%
1-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 21.87%

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