Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Palermo | Draw | Venezia |
40.22% ( -0.28) | 24.93% ( 0.01) | 34.85% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 57.77% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.46% ( 0.01) | 45.54% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.13% ( 0.01) | 67.87% ( -0.02) |
Palermo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.45% ( -0.13) | 22.55% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.87% ( -0.2) | 56.13% ( 0.19) |
Venezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% ( 0.16) | 25.41% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.77% ( 0.22) | 60.22% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Palermo | Draw | Venezia |
2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 40.22% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.85% |
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