SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reggiana | Draw | Venezia |
32.06% ( -0.58) | 25.98% ( 0.09) | 41.97% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 53.44% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.19% ( -0.51) | 50.81% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.31% ( -0.45) | 72.7% ( 0.46) |
| Reggiana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.31% ( -0.63) | 29.7% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.25% ( -0.78) | 65.76% ( 0.78) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( 0.02) | 24% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.76% ( 0.03) | 58.25% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reggiana | Draw | Venezia |
| 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.06% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.96% |
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