Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Vicenza had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Vicenza win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.
