Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
