SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden Women | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | USA Women | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Australia Women | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | New Zealand Women | 3 | -8 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Great Britain Women | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada Women | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Japan Women | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Chile Women | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 67.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Japan Women had a probability of 13.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Japan Women win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA Women | Draw | Japan Women |
67.89% ( -0.02) | 18.87% ( 0.03) | 13.24% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.57% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.22% ( -0.15) | 41.78% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.81% ( -0.15) | 64.18% ( 0.15) |
| USA Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.69% ( -0.05) | 11.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.04% ( -0.1) | 35.95% ( 0.1) |
| Japan Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.02% ( -0.1) | 42.98% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.72% ( -0.09) | 79.27% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA Women | Draw | Japan Women |
| 2-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.57% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.8% Total : 67.88% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 18.87% | 0-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.78% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 1.4% Total : 13.24% |
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