SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for NS Mura had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a NS Mura win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | NS Mura |
| 57.34% | 22.54% | 20.12% |
| Both teams to score 53.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.39% | 45.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.07% | 67.93% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.35% | 15.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.32% | 44.68% |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.29% | 36.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.5% | 73.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | NS Mura |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.88% 3-1 @ 6.12% 3-0 @ 6.11% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.84% 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-1 @ 1.05% 5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.41% Total : 57.33% | 1-1 @ 10.67% 0-0 @ 5.75% 2-2 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.53% | 0-1 @ 5.76% 1-2 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 2.89% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.72% Total : 20.12% |
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