Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for NS Mura had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a NS Mura win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
