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Conference League | Group Stage
Dec 9, 2021 at 8pm UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
NM

Vitesse
3 - 1
NS Mura

Buitink (4'), Openda (35'), Huisman (40')
Doekhi (77'), Bero (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Marosa (82')
Kous (46'), Kozar (54'), Cipot (76'), Karamarko (90+4')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Vitesse and NS Mura.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for NS Mura had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a NS Mura win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
VitesseDrawNS Mura
57.34%22.54%20.12%
Both teams to score 53.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39%45.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.07%67.93%
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35%15.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.32%44.68%
NS Mura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.29%36.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.5%73.5%
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 57.33%
    NS Mura 20.12%
    Draw 22.53%
VitesseDrawNS Mura
1-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.88%
3-1 @ 6.12%
3-0 @ 6.11%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.84%
4-0 @ 2.83%
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-1 @ 1.05%
5-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 57.33%
1-1 @ 10.67%
0-0 @ 5.75%
2-2 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.53%
0-1 @ 5.76%
1-2 @ 5.35%
0-2 @ 2.89%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 20.12%

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