SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Koper had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Koper win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Koper | Draw | Celje |
34.14% ( 1.37) | 26.3% ( 0.71) | 39.55% ( -2.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.95% ( -1.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.31% ( -2.7) | 51.69% ( 2.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.53% ( -2.4) | 73.46% ( 2.39) |
| Koper Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% ( -0.45) | 28.78% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.36% ( -0.57) | 64.63% ( 0.57) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( -2.29) | 25.64% ( 2.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.46% ( -3.21) | 60.54% ( 3.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Koper | Draw | Celje |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.85) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.14% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.76)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.42)0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.29)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.24)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.43% Total : 39.55% |
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