Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 68.55%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Nafta had a probability of 12.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.62%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Nafta win it was 1-0 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nafta | Draw | Celje |
12.43% ( -0.34) | 19.02% ( -0.06) | 68.55% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 47.64% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.58% ( -0.54) | 44.42% ( 0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.21% ( -0.52) | 66.79% ( 0.53) |
Nafta Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.06% ( -0.89) | 45.94% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.33% ( -0.7) | 81.67% ( 0.7) |
Celje Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.11% ( -0.05) | 11.89% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.8% ( -0.1) | 37.2% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Nafta | Draw | Celje |
1-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.13% Total : 12.43% | 1-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.02% | 0-2 @ 12.38% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 8.79% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 6.84% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 4.68% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 3.64% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.33% Total : 68.53% |
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