SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Koper win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Nafta had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Koper win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Nafta win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Koper would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Koper | Draw | Nafta |
39.49% ( -2.58) | 24.68% ( 0.12) | 35.83% ( 2.46) |
| Both teams to score 58.83% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.76% ( -0.06) | 44.23% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.38% ( -0.06) | 66.61% ( 0.06) |
| Koper Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( -1.26) | 22.34% ( 1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.18% ( -1.93) | 55.82% ( 1.93) |
| Nafta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.75% ( 1.38) | 24.25% ( -1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.39% ( 1.92) | 58.61% ( -1.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Koper | Draw | Nafta |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.46)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.36)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.49% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.43)1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.31)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.3)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.14)Other @ 1.98% Total : 35.83% |
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