SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Primorje had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Primorje win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Primorje |
59.86% ( 0.09) | 21.01% ( -0.03) | 19.13% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.88% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.83% ( 0.05) | 40.16% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.46% ( 0.05) | 62.53% ( -0.05) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.94% ( 0.04) | 13.06% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.36% ( 0.08) | 39.64% ( -0.08) |
| Primorje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.42% ( -0.03) | 34.58% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.7% ( -0.04) | 71.3% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | Primorje |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.51% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.01% | 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 19.13% |
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