SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for NS Mura had a probability of 14.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a NS Mura win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | NS Mura |
66.89% ( -0.37) | 18.72% ( 0.2) | 14.38% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.35% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.57% ( -0.59) | 38.43% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.28% ( -0.63) | 60.72% ( 0.63) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.38% ( -0.26) | 10.62% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.56% ( -0.58) | 34.44% ( 0.58) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.81% ( -0.15) | 39.19% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.1% ( -0.14) | 75.9% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | NS Mura |
| 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.49% Total : 66.89% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.72% | 1-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 14.38% |
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