Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Primorje had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Primorje win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NS Mura would win this match.
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