SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Primorje had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.38%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Primorje win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Primorje | Draw | Maribor |
14.25% ( -0.22) | 20.99% ( -0.06) | 64.76% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 46.43% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.23% ( -0.19) | 48.77% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.13% ( -0.18) | 70.87% ( 0.18) |
| Primorje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.19% ( -0.44) | 45.81% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.43% ( -0.34) | 81.57% ( 0.34) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( 0.02) | 14.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.85% ( 0.04) | 42.14% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Primorje | Draw | Maribor |
| 1-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 2% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.25% Total : 14.25% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.99% | 0-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 12.38% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 8.03% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 6.27% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.9% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.05% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.38% Total : 64.74% |
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