Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Domzale win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Domzale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Domzale would win this match.
Result | ||
NK Domzale | Draw | Aluminij |
45.3% ( 0.1) | 24.89% ( -0.06) | 29.81% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.93% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.93% ( 0.21) | 47.07% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.69% ( 0.19) | 69.31% ( -0.2) |
NK Domzale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.17% ( 0.13) | 20.83% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.49% ( 0.2) | 53.51% ( -0.21) |
Aluminij Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.65% ( 0.08) | 29.35% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.67% ( 0.09) | 65.32% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
NK Domzale | Draw | Aluminij |
1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 45.3% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.81% |
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