SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rogaska win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rogaska win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rogaska in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aluminij | Draw | Rogaska |
32.45% ( 0.42) | 25.52% ( -0.02) | 42.02% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 55.05% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.22% ( 0.23) | 48.77% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.12% ( 0.2) | 70.88% ( -0.2) |
| Aluminij Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% ( 0.39) | 28.44% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.8% ( 0.49) | 64.19% ( -0.49) |
| Rogaska Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% ( -0.1) | 23.07% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.09% ( -0.14) | 56.91% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aluminij | Draw | Rogaska |
| 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.45% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 42.02% |
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