SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Koper win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Aluminij had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Koper win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for an Aluminij win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Koper would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aluminij | Draw | Koper |
21.52% ( 0.03) | 22.98% ( -0.05) | 55.5% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.06% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.25% ( 0.26) | 45.75% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.94% ( 0.24) | 68.06% ( -0.24) |
| Aluminij Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.6% ( 0.18) | 35.39% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.84% ( 0.19) | 72.16% ( -0.18) |
| Koper Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.67% ( 0.1) | 16.33% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.08% ( 0.18) | 45.92% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aluminij | Draw | Koper |
| 1-0 @ 6% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.12% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 21.52% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.97% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 55.49% |
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