SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aluminij | Draw | NS Mura |
28.31% ( 0.18) | 25.43% ( -0.01) | 46.26% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.81% ( 0.16) | 50.19% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.85% ( 0.14) | 72.15% ( -0.14) |
| Aluminij Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.96% ( 0.22) | 32.04% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.49% ( 0.25) | 68.5% ( -0.24) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% ( -0.01) | 21.69% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.15% ( -0.01) | 54.85% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aluminij | Draw | NS Mura |
| 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.31% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 46.26% |
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