SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 50.41%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | NS Mura |
50.41% ( -0.02) | 23.63% ( -0) | 25.96% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.18% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.91% ( 0.03) | 44.08% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.53% ( 0.03) | 66.47% ( -0.03) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.43% ( 0.01) | 17.57% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.88% ( 0.01) | 48.12% ( -0.01) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( 0.03) | 30.64% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.12% ( 0.04) | 66.88% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | NS Mura |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.58% 3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 3.76% Total : 50.41% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 25.96% |
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