Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Rogaska had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Rogaska win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Maribor in this match.
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