SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nafta win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for NK Domzale had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nafta win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest NK Domzale win was 1-0 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NK Domzale | Draw | Nafta |
26.01% ( -0.23) | 23.9% ( 0.22) | 50.09% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.34% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.78% ( -1.16) | 45.22% ( 1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.43% ( -1.11) | 67.57% ( 1.12) |
| NK Domzale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( -0.79) | 31.2% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.46% ( -0.94) | 67.53% ( 0.94) |
| Nafta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.88% ( -0.43) | 18.12% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.93% ( -0.74) | 49.07% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Domzale | Draw | Nafta |
| 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.84% Total : 26.01% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.09% |
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