SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 61.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for NK Domzale had a probability of 16.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a NK Domzale win it was 1-0 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NK Domzale | Draw | Maribor |
16.73% ( 0.05) | 21.74% ( 0.09) | 61.53% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 49.75% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.68% ( -0.29) | 47.31% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.46% ( -0.27) | 69.54% ( 0.26) |
| NK Domzale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.44% ( -0.11) | 41.56% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.95% ( -0.1) | 78.05% ( 0.09) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.14% ( -0.14) | 14.86% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.81% ( -0.27) | 43.19% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Domzale | Draw | Maribor |
| 1-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.54% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 16.73% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.9% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 11.22% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.13% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.26% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 61.52% |
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