SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radomlje win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Nafta had a probability of 37.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radomlje win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Nafta win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Radomlje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Radomlje | Draw | Nafta |
38.26% ( -1) | 24.53% ( -0.27) | 37.21% ( 1.27) |
| Both teams to score 59.47% ( 1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.55% ( 1.35) | 43.45% ( -1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.16% ( 1.31) | 65.84% ( -1.3) |
| Radomlje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.39% ( 0.09) | 22.61% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.78% ( 0.14) | 56.22% ( -0.13) |
| Nafta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( 1.3) | 23.15% ( -1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.98% ( 1.86) | 57.02% ( -1.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Radomlje | Draw | Nafta |
| 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.45)2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.26% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.21% |
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