SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Domzale win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Nafta had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Domzale win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Nafta win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nafta | Draw | NK Domzale |
34.42% ( -0.18) | 25.06% ( 0.09) | 40.52% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.2% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.76% ( -0.45) | 46.24% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.47% ( -0.43) | 68.53% ( 0.43) |
| Nafta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( -0.31) | 26% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.98% ( -0.43) | 61.02% ( 0.43) |
| NK Domzale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( -0.15) | 22.71% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.63% ( -0.23) | 56.37% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nafta | Draw | NK Domzale |
| 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.35% Total : 34.42% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.52% |
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